Quoting Conventions
In the Foreign Exchange market, currencies are traded in
pairs. For instance, a speculator may trade the Euro versus
the US Dollar, EUR/USD, or the US Dollar versus the Japanese
Yen, USD/JPY. The base currency is the term for the first
currency in the pair. The counter currency is the term for
the second currency in the pair. The exchange rate
represents the number of units of the counter currency that
one unit of the base currency can purchase.
Traders in the Foreign Exchange market are speculating on
the exchange rate between two currencies. Exchange rates
measure the relative strength of one currency to another.
Speculators make buy and sell decisions on currency pairs
based on fundamental and technical analysis, with the
intention of the exchange rate moving in their favor.
EUR/USD
In this example euro is the base currency and thus
the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you believe that the US economy will continue to weaken
and this will hurt the US dollar, you would execute a BUY
EUR/USD order. By doing so you have bought euros in the
expectation that they will appreciate versus the US dollar.
If you believe that the US economy is strong and the euro
will weaken against the US dollar you would execute a SELL
EUR/USD order. By doing so you have sold euros in the
expectation that they will depreciate versus the US dollar.
USD/JPY
In this example the US dollar is the base currency and thus
the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think that the Japanese government is going to weaken
the yen in order to help its export industry, you would
execute a BUY USD/JPY order. By doing so you have bought U.S
dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus
the Japanese yen. If you believe that Japanese investors are
pulling money out of U.S. financial markets and repatriating
funds back to Japan, and this will hurt the US dollar, you
would execute a SELL USD/JPY order. By doing so you have
sold U.S dollars in the expectation that they will
depreciate against the Japanese yen.
GBP/USD
In this example the GBP is the base currency and
thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the British economy will continue to be the
leading economy among the G7 nations in terms of growth,
thus buying the pound, you would execute a BUY GBP/USD
order. By doing so you have bought pounds in the expectation
that they will appreciate versus the US dollar. If you
believe the British are going to adopt the euro and this
will weaken pounds as they devalue their currency in
anticipation of the merge, you would execute a SELL GBP/USD
order. By doing so you have sold pounds in the expectation
that they will depreciate against the US dollar.
USD/CHF
In this example the USD is the base currency and thus the
“basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the Swiss franc is overvalued, you would
execute a BUY USD/CHF order. By doing so you have bought US
dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus
the Swiss Franc. If you believe that due to instability in
the Middle East and in U.S. financial markets the dollar
will continue to weaken, you would execute a SELL USD/CHF
order. By doing so you have sold US dollars in the
expectation that they will depreciate against the Swiss
franc.
Sample Trade
A trader wishes to speculate on EUR/USD. Believing that
the EUR will rise against the USD, or that the exchange rate
will move upwards, the trader places an order to buy EUR/USD
at a market rate of 1.3050. Let us also assume that the
trader is speculating on 100,000 units of the base currency,
which is the standard lot size, or trading increment, used
in the Foreign Exchange market. Since the base currency is
the first currency in the pair, the trader is speculating on
the value of 100,000 Euros with respect to the US Dollar.
In this example, the trader is buying Euros, since he
believes the Euro will rise in value with respect to the US
Dollar. Accordingly, he finances the transaction of buying
100,000 Euros by borrowing an equivalent amount of US
Dollars.
For the trader, the value of the amount borrowed is a
function of the exchange rate. Since the exchange rate at
the time of the transaction was 1.3050, the market cost for
1 Euro was 1.3050 US Dollars. Hence, 100,000 Euros cost
$130,500 (1.3050 * 100,000). This borrowed amount of 130,500
USD must be paid back when the transaction is closed.
Let’s assume that the trader is correct in assuming that
the Euro would rise in value with respect to the USD, and
that the exchange rate moved to 1.3150, 100 pips above the
rate at which the trader entered. If the trader were to
close his position now, the 100,000 Euros he purchased at
the onset of the transaction would be sold, and his debt of
130,500 US Dollars would be paid off.
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